AI Risk WatchStanding
AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 73/100
Updated 14 October 2026 · Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 73/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~123,552 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
Why it matters
Boards are being told AI will unleash a vulnerability tsunami. The data says record volume but not tsunami — a nuance worth getting right before budgeting.
What to do
- Security leaders. Brief leadership that AI-driven CVE growth is real but tracking below the doom forecasts — sustain, don't panic-buy.
- Lean IT orgs. Inventory which AI/ML tools you actually run; that's your real exposure, not the headline number.
- MSPs. Add AI-software components to client asset inventories now, before they proliferate.
Our take
Calm, evidence-backed framing of AI risk is itself a differentiator when most of the market is selling the tsunami.
Earlier issues
Past states of this signal, most recent first.
14 October 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 73/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 73/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~123,259 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
09 October 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 75/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 75/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~117,924 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
04 October 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 76/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 76/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~116,234 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
29 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 76/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 76/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~116,082 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
24 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 76/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 76/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~114,235 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
19 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 76/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 76/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~114,610 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
14 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 78/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 78/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~108,685 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
09 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 79/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 79/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~107,896 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
04 September 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 80/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 80/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~105,071 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
30 August 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 80/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 80/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~103,590 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
25 August 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 81/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 81/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~101,924 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
20 August 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 81/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 81/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~101,879 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.