AI Risk WatchStanding
AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 84/100
Updated 12 August 2026 · Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 84/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~94,186 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
Why it matters
Boards are being told AI will unleash a vulnerability tsunami. The data says record volume but not tsunami — a nuance worth getting right before budgeting.
What to do
- Security leaders. Brief leadership that AI-driven CVE growth is real but tracking below the doom forecasts — sustain, don't panic-buy.
- Lean IT orgs. Inventory which AI/ML tools you actually run; that's your real exposure, not the headline number.
- MSPs. Add AI-software components to client asset inventories now, before they proliferate.
Our take
Calm, evidence-backed framing of AI risk is itself a differentiator when most of the market is selling the tsunami.
Earlier issues
Past states of this signal, most recent first.
10 August 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 84/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 84/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~92,751 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
05 August 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 85/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 85/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~91,430 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.
30 July 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 84/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 84/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~92,010 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood. That is a new low for the index since we began tracking it daily: by our volume measure the predicted flood looks further off than on any prior day.
25 July 2026 AI risk watch: the Hype Index sits at 85/100
Timeframe: AI Hype Index, weekly since May 2026
The AI Hype Index reads 85/100. CVE volume is on pace for a record year (~90,736 projected vs 49,972 in 2025), yet still well below the most aggressive LLM-discovery forecasts. The AI-driven surge is real and accelerating, it just isn't the predicted flood.